Jeez you see that bear everywhere in Nelson

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I’ll make a diary entry to remind myself. In the meantime, I’ll see if I can get some info (also after the election) on what the undecideds were in the week before the election. I always find it interesting that they are NEVER included in the main survey findings.

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Oh, Dave S, I can’t be bothered going into it now and dredging up the statistics from previous elections. Would take me an hour or so, and right now my focus is on campaigning to improve the Green vote.

The Greens also have direct evidence of this through our own market research, but I have that information confidentially, so am not at liberty to post the research supporting it here.

So ask me again after the election, when I might have time (and even might have permission to release the Green market research information, although that is also up to the research company, not just us in the Greens).

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Toad

re “The “undecideds” 2 weeks out from the election (the exact polling period wasn’t disclosed by the Nelson Mail, but presumably that is close) traditionally vote disproportionately in favour of the Greens.”

Evidence please, this is a big claim!

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kahikatea
my apologies, you are quite correct – I read 2 instead of 5, maybe I am catching oldfartitus after all, (only in the eyes though – where it makes things look smaller than they are!)

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The “undecideds” 2 weeks out from the election (the exact polling period wasn’t disclosed by the Nelson Mail, but presumably that is close) traditionally vote disproportionately in favour of the Greens.

So this is looking good – I predict the Greens in the Nelson electorate will exceed the 10.1% Green support revealed by the poll. If this is reflected in nationwide polling, it could just get Mike Ward back into Parliament (the Roy Morgan poll last Friday would also have him back), despite his having dropped 6 places on the Green Party list since the 2005 election.

Many artists and sportspeople would love to see him there again, and if the Greens are in Government, Mike’s presence would be a real bonus for arts and sports interests.

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Strings Says:
October 30th, 2008 at 3:44 pm

> wow! 36% undecided!

14.4% undecided, by my calculation

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wow! 36% undecided! Leaves BIIIIIG room for a swing! I wonder which way it will go? THis should be one for the blog on November 10th!

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