Clark’s poor advice
Even if voters’ choice were simply a Labour-led government or a National-led government Helen Clark’s ‘advice‘ yesterday would be patently false given the Greens’ preference announcement last week:
When she was asked at a meeting with Foodstuffs workers if they should vote strategically to ensure a Labour coalition, she said the best way was to vote for Labour.
But the choice many Labour voters face is not just National vs Labour, but Labour-NZ First vs Labour-Green. Which means that strategically, the best thing they can do is vote for the support partner they want for Labour, not for Labour itself. The relative strength of those two parties is likely to decide which one has the most bargaining power to shape the type of government that Labour might be able to put together. Labour has said it is an election about trust, and many former Labour voters don’t trust Winston Peters and New Zealand First. They will see the logic on voting Green.
Or, as Audrey Young noted yesterday:
I have lost count of the former Labour voters I know who are voting Green this election. They trust Labour, but only as far as they can kick them.
October 25th, 2008 at 8:59 am
Only to have the brown party hold everyone to ransom to entrench rights for one class of New Zealanders over another…
October 25th, 2008 at 9:35 am
Samiam - and what if the Maori seats were given just the equivalent protection under the law, where it required a 75% majority to kill them rather than a simple majority? Would that be a road too far? Is it that scary that tangata whenua are recognised?
October 25th, 2008 at 9:38 am
I’m a born New Zealander = I am Tangata Whenua. That’s not scary, oh but wait, then we don’t have race as a criteria to be a ‘real’ kiwi and we don’t have racist seats.
October 25th, 2008 at 10:11 am
oww, toad that hurt
It the left Cobble together a coalition it will be the death Nell for MMP in this country
and there would be another election in under 18 months
I kind of hope it happens
October 25th, 2008 at 10:16 am
Frog
“Would that be a road too far? Is it that scary that tangata whenua are recognised?”
What is scary is the desire of the Greens to inflict their guilty conscious on the rest of us.
October 25th, 2008 at 10:24 am
frog,
October 25th, 2008 at 11:29 am
Helen Clark is probably trying to maximise the labour vote. It is all very well for Labour to form a government with only 35% support, but I doubt the electorate would stand for it, particularly given the mood for change that people keep talking about.
So the environmentalists should not take too much of Labour’s vote…
October 25th, 2008 at 12:06 pm
National formed a govt in 1996 with 33.8%, Labour in 1999 with 38.7. Yes, they were the largest party, but coalitions are what matter in MMP. That is the entire point. You’re still thinking FFP. Overseas there have been stable governments where the largest party is not in govt. What matters is what majority is formed. This is also why the Greens feel it is important to state a preference before the election, so that people know what they are likely to get.
October 25th, 2008 at 12:13 pm
Valis
The people might know that the Greens are going to go with Labour but that is years away from “knowing what they are likely to get”
For some reason the MSM have always avoided any in depth analysis of the Greens, one can only hope that their rise in the polls will see the blow torch applied and the many myth’s behind the Greens are exposed.
October 25th, 2008 at 12:17 pm
Bring on the blow torch I say. I would love the MSM to take a serious look at the Greens and their policies instead of the myopic name calling that they (and you BB) engage in. Bring it on I say!!!!
October 25th, 2008 at 12:24 pm
Be careful what you wish for Frog.
The first question they will ask is “how can you afford this”, the answer must be “to raise taxes”.
I am sure that the voters need to know that Sue B plans to substantially raise the dole and DPB benefits.
I am sure they public need to know just how badly our economy will be hammered if we ever embrace the Greens version of the ETS.
You guys might even be asked to cost a policy or two.
October 25th, 2008 at 12:40 pm
No one claims that that the state of the economy will not influence what we’d do next term. And just like us, the other parties have programmes larger than they can afford. The main difference is what our relative priorities are. Even if we have to move at 10% of the pace we’d like, this is still better than heading in the opposite direction.
October 27th, 2008 at 12:21 pm
Actually, people should vote for the member of the coalition that would take a potential government in the direction they want. For some people who want a Labour-led coalition, that will be Labour. For others it will be the Greens. For some it will be the Progressives, even. And for some it may just be New Zealand First.
And for those on the Maori roll, it could well be the Maori Party
Big Bro- the MSM have avoided in-depth analysis of ANY party. They’re not interested if it doesn’t involve shifts of allegiance. One suspects they view politics more like a soap opera than an actual contest for where to take our country for the next few years.