Predicting the perfect food storm

by frog

If you have read Stuffed and Starved, the book that predicted current food crisis before it began, you’ll enjoy this Guardian interview with it’s author Raj Patel.

His analysis shows how communities around the planet have been disempowered by a system that appears to offer an abundance of cheap food, but in reality dictates unhealthy and limited choices to an overworked and underpaid workforce that cannot afford any better. “The figure that often stuns people outside the US when I tour with the book is that 20% of American fast-food meals are eaten in cars. People are incredulous and ask: is that because Americans so love their cars? But living here you see how hard people work, for a pittance, with no healthcare, no decent education, not even a hint of a pension – so it’s not surprising that the one hot meal you eat a day you eat off your lap. That’s where the food system becomes a lifestyle.”

The  thing I think is interesting about the massive industrial monoculture model of farming is not so much that it is in danger of collapsing under its own weight, but that its collapse is leading those who control food markets to call for even more of the same.  It sounds eerily reminiscent of Roger Douglas and his fans yelling, as things came tumbling down around him, that the problem was not what he did but that he wasn’t allowed to do more.

So now we have the ‘perfect storm‘ of poorly conceived biofuel policies, climate change driven droughts and floods, the rising price of oil and increased meat consumption.

In the longer term, though, even the current food crisis may seem mild. The world population is set to rise from about six billion today to nine billion by 2050. Global warming is likely to disrupt growing patterns and extend drought across Africa and the American south-west. Water resources for irrigation will be depleted. If we are already in a perfect storm, then we lack the terminology to describe what lies ahead.

Luckily, here in New Zealand we have the means to tidily sidestep all of this.  We could easily support all of our farmers and grow all our own food.  We could quickly and easily make the shift to a form of food production that used far less oil.  We could probably even subtlety change our diet to reflect the healthy, fresh food we grow locally rather than import from overseas.  All without any loss of lifestyle.

frog says

Published in Environment & Resource Management by frog on Wed, July 30th, 2008   

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