Declaring your hand

by frog

The Herald on Sunday had a piece this morning about how there are very few party leaders left who would relish post-election negotiations with Winston Peters. Now that Helen Clark has signalled unequivocally that she’d rather work with the Greens and/or United than NZ First, Winston is getting nasty. He told the paper that Helen Clark deceived him during coalition negotiations in 1996 and that she is “obsessed with social engineering”. He doesn’t have much nice to say about Don Brash either, saying he was “a neo-liberal pursuing policies that have never worked anywhere in the world”.

This kind of bluster is classic Winston. He rails against the two major parties, and never quite admits that, well, he will have to serve in government with one of them. Either the deceptive social engineer or the completely misguided neo-liberal would have to lead any government in which Winston served, as much as he’d like to pretend to his supporters that he can beat them both and form a government all on his own.

Winston has also lashed out at other party leaders who state which other parties they are willing to coalesce with as “lacking integrity” and “obsessed with power”, because what they should be doing is concentrating on delivering policy.

Well, the majority of New Zealanders disagree with him, as yesterday’s Fairfax poll revealed. 68% of those polled either agree or strongly agreed with the statement:

Prior to the election, political parties should state with whom they are willing to form a coalition.

What Winston is in effect saying (and Peter Dunne and Tariana Turia are doing the same thing) is that he doesn’t care whether Helen Clark or Don Brash, with their strikingly divergent visions for New Zealand, leads the next government.

My guess is that that line will eventually come back to haunt him. If the Labour voters moving to NZ First are told often enough that their votes could lead to an asset-selling, service-slashing National government – and my goodness the Prime Minister will be repeating this line ad infinitum from now till September – then they’ll start to think twice about being seduced by Winston’s smile. One thing many of Winston’s voters will remember is the deception they felt in 1996 when he went with National. That memory may have faded, but it will certainly come rushing back over the next few months.

frog says

Published in Campaign by frog on Sun, June 19th, 2005   

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